FGP.L

FirstGroup Plc
FirstGroup Plc - Agreement to acquire RATP London
10th December 2024, 07:00
TwitterFacebookLinkedIn
To continue viewing RNS, please confirm that you are a Private Investor*

* A Private Investor is a recipient of the information who meets all of the conditions set out below, the recipient:

  1. Obtains access to the information in a personal capacity;
  2. Is not required to be regulated or supervised by a body concerned with the regulation or supervision of investment or financial services;
  3. Is not currently registered or qualified as a professional securities trader or investment adviser with any national or state exchange, regulatory authority, professional association or recognised professional body;
  4. Does not currently act in any capacity as an investment adviser, whether or not they have at some time been qualified to do so;
  5. Uses the information solely in relation to the management of their personal funds and not as a trader to the public or for the investment of corporate funds;
  6. Does not distribute, republish or otherwise provide any information or derived works to any third party in any manner or use or process information or derived works for any commercial purposes.
FIRSTGROUP PLC

agreement to acquire bus operator RATP London

FirstGroup plc (the `Group') is pleased to announce that it has signed an
agreement to acquire RATP Dev Transit London Limited and its subsidiaries (`RATP
London') from RATP Développement SA (`RATP Dev') for an enterprise value of £90
million (the `Acquisition').

The Acquisition will see the Group enter the London bus market with a strong
position and will further grow and diversify the Group's revenue. RATP London is
one of the principal bus operators in the capital, with a c.12% market share,
comprising:

  · 10 depots across Central and West London (four owned and six leased);
  · a fleet of c.1,000 buses of which a third are fully electric;
  · c.3,700 employees over 80% of whom are drivers;
  · c.90 Transport for London (`TfL') route contracts, typically of seven-year
term; (weighted average remaining contract life of 3.3 years)
  · revenues of £271m for the year ended 31 December 2023; and
  · an experienced management team with a proven track record of developing and
implementing a comprehensive turnaround plan that includes enhanced bid
discipline and improved operational and cost performance

The enterprise value is underpinned by c.£100m of physical assets including
freehold property of c.£50m.

The Acquisition will be financed with £45 million from the Group's existing cash
reserves and the assumption of RATP London's asset backed vehicle finances
leases (c.£45m).

Following completion of the Acquisition, the Group anticipates:

  · the Acquisition will be broadly earnings neutral in FY 2025 and FY 2026;
onerous contract provisions totalling c.£40-50m will be utilised over several
years;
  · as the route contract portfolio evolves over the next five years, annual
revenues are expected to grow to £300-350m, with operating margins in line with
historical London levels of c.6-7%;
  · looking ahead, in addition to the measures included in the current
turnaround plan, the Group has identified a number of potential synergies that
could further enhance profitability;
  · operating cash outflows of c. £30m, after bus operating lease payments and
capex, in the first two years of ownership, following which the business is
expected to be operating cash positive from FY 2027 onwards;
  · RATP London's current management team will transfer with the business and
are expected to be retained post-acquisition.

The Acquisition is subject to French government approval (in its capacity as the
ultimate owner of the business) and is conditional on TfL consent to the change
of control. The Group anticipates completion of the Acquisition in H1 Calendar
Year 2025.

Graham Sutherland, FirstGroup Chief Executive Officer said:

"This is a significant acquisition for the Group that will diversify our
portfolio and materially grow our earnings in the medium term. It allows us to
enter the London bus market at scale and will also bolster our credentials as we
participate in future franchising opportunities across the UK.

"We look forward to continuing to build on our relationship with TfL and
welcoming RATP London's employees into the Group, to continue the transformation
of the business and to capitalise on the growth potential in the London market."

Investor & Analyst webcast

A webcast for investors and analysts will be held at 09:00 (GMT) today. To
request the webcast details, please email corporate.comms@firstgroup.co.uk. To
access the presentation slides, together with a pdf copy of this announcement,
go to www.firstgroupplc.com/investors. A recording of the webcast will also be
available on the website in due course.

Notes to Editors

Operational and financial overview

RATP London was formed through the consolidation of London United, London
Sovereign and London Transit bus companies. RATP London is most prominent in
West London, and also operates in the north-west and south-west of the capital.

RATP London has c.3,700 employees and operates a fleet of c.1,000 buses out of
four owned and six leased depots, as well as a number of smaller ancillary
properties, in Central and West London. The four freehold depots have existing
use value of c.£50m. The freehold depots are located in Fulwell, Hounslow,
Shepherds Bush and Stamford Brook, with leasehold depots in Edgware, Harrow,
Hounslow, Park Royal, Tolworth and Westbourne Park.

The majority of the senior management team joined the company over the last
three years and have developed and implemented a comprehensive turnaround plan
for the business. Good progress has been made since the implementation of the
plan, both in enhanced bid discipline with c.30 routes rebid over the past two
years, including the early termination of loss making routes at contract review
dates as well as improved operational performance and cost control, and
workforce stabilisation. This improvement in performance can be seen in the TfL
Q2 FY 2025 Bus Operator League Tables, with the three subsidiaries occupying
first, second and fourth place in the league table for "operated mileage before
non-deductible losses".

RATP London operates c.90 routes on behalf of TfL. These route contracts
typically have a seven year maturity with on average, c.13 contracts in the
portfolio renewed each year. As the route contract portfolio evolves over the
next five years, the Group anticipates that annual revenues will grow to £300
-350m, with operating margins in line with historical norms in London of c.6-7%.

RATP London reported group revenues of £271m for the year ended 31 December
2023. The Group anticipates that the Acquisition will be broadly earnings
neutral in FY 2025 and FY 2026, after the utilisation of onerous contract
provisions of c.£40-50m that recognise contracts entered into prior to 2022 and
were subsequently impacted by material labour market cost increases. The Group
will recognise these provisions on acquisition. The onerous contract loss
provision release matches the losses being incurred on these contracts and will
result in a broadly neutral impact in the Group's profit and loss accounts.

Buses are currently acquired under operating leases, which the Group will review
going forward. The Group anticipates aggregate capital expenditure of c.£40-50m
which excludes bus acquisitions, over the first three years of ownership
relating primarily to depot electrification, charging infrastructure, existing
fleet replacement batteries, and a small amount of spending on other non-current
assets. The capex forecast excludes the buses that may be acquired under
operating leases and this will be reviewed in the context of the Group's wider
approach to electrification.

TfL is targeting an entirely zero-emission bus fleet by 2034 at the latest and
electrification is now compulsory in the bidding process. RATP London has been
an early mover in bus fleet and infrastructure electrification, with a third of
the fleet electric. The Group will seek to capitalise on electrification
expenditure efficiencies through its existing capabilities and arrangements.

The Group anticipates operating cash outflows of c. £30m after bus operating
lease payments and capex, in the first two years of ownership, with the business
expected to be operating cash generative from FY 2027 onwards.

Looking ahead, in addition to the measures included in the current turnaround
plan, the Group has identified a number of synergies that could further enhance
profitability. These include fuel and electricity pricing, insurance, on bus
advertising, materials contracts, fleet purchasing, vehicle sale benefits
through the use of the Group's Ensignbus business, and through the merging of
some back-office functions. The Group will also consider the future financing of
electric buses, including the potential benefits of bringing electric bus
batteries into its joint venture with Hitachi Zero Carbon.

Impact on the Group's FY 2025 and FY 2026 financial outlook

Should the Acquisition complete in the fourth quarter of the Group's financial
year ending March 2025, it is anticipated that its FY 2025 net capital
expenditure will be c.£125m and year-end adjusted net debt will be c.£110m. The
Group will also recognise additional IFRS16 lease liabilities of c.£60m in FY
2025.

In FY 2026, RATP London is anticipated to make a small contribution to the First
Bus adjusted operating profit, at a lower margin, and the Group's net capital
expenditure is expected to increase to c.£125m, with the majority of expenditure
in First Bus electrification. There will be an increase in the Group's interest
cost of c.£6m, including IFRS 16, relating to the Acquisition, and the Group's
FY 2026 year-end Adjusted net debt is expected to be c.£130m.

Share Purchase Agreement terms

Under the terms of the Share Purchase Agreement (`SPA'), FirstGroup plc will
acquire, through its wholly-owned subsidiary, First Bus Holdings Limited (`First
Bus'), the entire issued share capital of RATP Dev Transit London Ltd and its
three operating subsidiaries, London Transit Limited, London Sovereign Limited
and London United Busways Limited, from RATP Dev UK Ltd (the `Seller'), a wholly
-owned subsidiary of RATP Dev. The consideration will be paid in full on
completion, subject to a normal post-completion true-up process. The entire debt
of RATP London will be assumed or repaid by the Seller's group prior to
completion, apart from the debt relating to hire purchase and lease finance
obligations (projected to be c.£45m as at 31 December 2024) which are expected
to remain with RATP London at completion.

The Group has provided a parent company guarantee to underpin the obligations of
First Bus under the SPA, and similarly the Seller's parent, RATP Dev, guarantees
the obligations of the Seller. The SPA includes a customary suite of warranties
and indemnities, subject to caps and limitations as appropriate.

The Seller is required to carry on operating and funding the business in line
with past practice in the period to completion. A limited suite of transitional
services will continue to be provided by the Seller and its group for a short
period post-completion under the terms of a Transitional Services Agreement
(`TSA'). Satisfaction of the conditions is subject to a longstop date of 30
April 2025. The current management team will transfer with the business and are
expected to be retained post-acquisition.

London bus market1

London is a £2.1bn bus market, accounting for around 46% of the entire UK bus
market. There are c.9,000 buses in London, with the market primarily served by
six major operators.

Bus patronage is expected to continue to recover back to pre-Covid levels,
supported by modest population growth across London, further growth in tourist
volumes, continued declines in car utilisation and investment in the expansion
of the bus network. TfL's Business Plan expects bus patronage to grow at c.4%
per annum between 2025 and 2027, recovering fully to pre-Covid levels by 2027.

Looking at modal share, despite a slight shift towards the London Underground
and more recently, suburban rail networks, bus remains the primary mode of
transport within London, with an average of 192 journeys per capita in 2023
(accounting for >50% of all journeys made).

The size of the London bus network has also been resilient, with a broadly
stable number of network miles operated between 2012 and 2020, and only a very
modest decline between 2020 and 2024. This reflects the consistent levels of
funding allocated to support operators, with long-term funding growth of c.3%
per annum between 2004 and 2023 demonstrating TfL's commitment to bus. In 2023
Bus accounted for approximately 25% of total TfL operating expenditure
(equivalent to £2.1bn per annum).

Overview of TfL contracts

London bus operations are entirely regulated by TfL, with each individual route
forming a contract which is bid for by authorised private sector operators. TfL
decide the contract specifications for a given bus route, control ticket prices
and collects passenger revenue. Operators own the buses and depots, and source
and pay drivers to run routes. The proximity of the line of route to the
operator's depot and staff changeover facilities is therefore key to maximising
efficiency and being competitive on bid price.

Individual route contracts are tendered competitively by TfL, generally over
seven-year terms, resulting in a franchising model where there is minimal risk
of losing large parts of the business at one time, and with a view to full
decarbonisation of the fleet.

The route contracts bear no revenue risk on the base price bid. Inflation is
allowed for based on 85% of revenue against which CPI is applied, and TfL
assuming 15% of bus operator cost base does not inflate.

TfL is entitled to make deductions for lost mileage (at a specified rate per
mile) where caused by reasons within the operator's reasonable control (such as
missing drivers or mechanical breakdown), and fares payment irregularities (i.e.
underpayment by passengers). Operators are not penalised for lost mileage that
is not within their control, for example traffic or roadworks delays.

In addition, operator performance is measured and incentivised / penalised
through quality of service indicators within the contracts, known as Quality of
Service Indicators (`QSIs'). Under the QSI regime, bonus payments and liquidated
damages are based on the operator's performance against a defined minimum
performance standard of Excess Wait Times (`EWT') or a minimum percentage of "On
-Time" services. Bonuses are earned up to an annual maximum 15% of contract
payments (less any deductions for lost mileage) (the `Contract Sum') for good
performance, with liquidated damages for poor performance capped annually at 10%
of the Contract Sum.

1 Source: TfL data

Contacts at FirstGroup:                        Contacts at Brunswick Group:

Marianna Bowes, Head of Investor Relations     Andrew Porter / Simone Selzer

Stuart Butchers, Group Head of Communications  Tel: +44 (0) 20 7404 5959

corporate.comms@firstgroup.co.uk

Tel: +44 (0) 20 7725 3354

Contacts at Panmure   RBC Europe Limited (Financial
Liberum (Corporate    Adviser and Corporate Broker):
Broker):
                      Philip Turville / James Agnew
Nicholas How / John   / Jack Wood
More
                      Tel: +44 (0) 20 7653 4000
Tel: +44 (0) 20 3100
2000

This announcement contains inside information and the person responsible for
publishing the announcement is David Blizzard, Company Secretary.

Notes

Legal Entity Identifier (LEI): 549300DEJZCPWA4HKM93. Classification as per DTR 6
Annex 1R: 3.1.

Forward-looking statements

Certain statements included or incorporated by reference within this
announcement may constitute 'forward-looking statements' with respect to the
business, strategy and plans of the Group and our current goals, assumptions and
expectations relating to our future financial condition, performance and
results. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve known and unknown
risks, assumptions, uncertainties and other factors that cause actual results,
performance or achievements of the Group to be materially different from any
future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward
-looking statements. No statement in this announcement should be construed as a
profit forecast for any period. Shareholders are cautioned not to place undue
reliance on the forward-looking statements. Except as required by the UK Listing
Rules and applicable law, the Group does not undertake any obligation to update
or change any forward-looking statements to reflect events occurring after the
date of this announcement.

About FirstGroup

FirstGroup plc (LSE: FGP.L) is a leading private sector provider of public
transport services. With £4.7 billion in revenue and around 30,000 employees, we
transported almost 2m passengers a day in FY 2024. We create solutions that
reduce complexity, making travel smoother and life easier. Our businesses are at
the heart of our communities and the essential services we provide are critical
to delivering wider economic, social and environmental goals. Each of our
divisions is a leader in its field: First Bus is one of the largest regional bus
operators in the UK, serving more than 20% of the population in the UK with a
fleet of around c.4,800 buses, and carrying more than a million passengers a
day. First Rail is one of the UK's largest rail operators, with many years of
experience running long-distance, commuter, regional and sleeper rail services.
We operate a fleet of c.3,700 locomotives and rail carriages through three DfT
contracted train operating companies: WCP (incorporating Avanti West Coast and
West Coast Partnership Development), GWR and SWR) and two open access routes
(Hull Trains and Lumo). We are formally committed to operating a zero-emission
First Bus fleet by 2035, and First Rail will help support the UK Government's
goal to remove all diesel-only trains from service by 2040. During FY 2024
FirstGroup was named as one of the world's cleanest 200 public companies for the
fifth consecutive year and achieved Industry Top-Rated status for the first time
with Sustainalytics. We provide easy and convenient mobility, improving quality
of life by connecting people and communities. Visit our website at
www.firstgroupplc.com and follow us @firstgroupplc on X.


This information was brought to you by Cision http://news.cision.com
https://news.cision.com/firstgroup-plc/r/agreement-to-acquire-ratp-london,c4079900
TwitterFacebookLinkedIn