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LungLife AI reports in-line interim results, issues positive guidance as orders for LungLB commence

10:42, 22nd August 2024
Paul Hill
PMH Capital
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Each year 234,000 Americans are diagnosed with lung cancer, tragically killing around 125,000.

However, the outlook for patients is improving, thanks to the launch of innovative new treatments such as immuno-therapies and ADCs, alongside the development of cutting edge diagnostics like LungLife AI's early stage LungLB blood test.

Indeed, LungLB has already successfully passed a pivotal 425 person, 17 site, validation study with flying colours under 'real-world' conditions, achieving a 81% positive predictive value (PPV) identifying smaller nodules (<15mm) vs 60% and 67% respectively for CT (current standard of care) and PET scans.

Small nodules are the most problematic area for the early detection of lung cancer and represent the greatest challenge for doctors. Moreover, LungLB outperformed the highly-validated Mayo Risk Model evaluation tool, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 72% compared to 62% for Mayo.

In similar fashion, LungLife AI today released 'in line' H1'24 results and positive guidance, meaning it has hit all major strategic and clinical milestones since listing on AIM in 2021 - a marvellous achievement that bodes well for the future.

Sure, the business remains loss-making with H1 EBITDA coming in at -$1.77m vs -$2.78m. Yet equally, initial orders for LungLB have just commenced via its Early Access Program (EAP) whilst net cash closed June at $2.62m, providing sufficient funding until at least Q2'25.

Additionally, LungLife AI plans to submit a Technical Assessment shortly to Medicare in order to obtain US insurance coverage, which will hopefully be granted sometime over the next 6 months.

The price has been set at $2,030/unit for the risk-stratification of indeterminate lung nodules. Medicare is the US government's healthcare insurance program for the disabled and elderly (ie >65 years old), representing 18.7% of the population or 67.3m people.

Elsewhere, the Board is seeking a strategic/licensing partner (eg Roche, Thermo Fisher, Natera, etc) to help commercialise the LungLB test firstly within the US and later worldwide. To me, this type of deal could be transformational and a significant win-win for everyone concerned.

It would not only provide LungLife AI with accelerated access to a much larger addressable market worth c. $2bn in the US alone, but also enable patients to benefit from the most accurate early-stage lung cancer diagnostic currently available, whilst offering the partner a unique test to sell as part of their broader product portfolio.

CEO Paul Pagano commenting: "We are delighted with the increasing recognition for LungLB as evidenced by the positive clinician feedback together with the first orders being received under our EAP. Whilst we progress towards commercialisation, we are also actively seeking opportunities for a suitable strategic partner who aligns with our vision and has the capability to accelerate the adoption of LungLB."

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The information, investment views and recommendations in this article are provided for general information purposes only. Nothing in this article should be construed as a solicitation to buy or sell any financial product relating to any companies under discussion or to engage in or refrain from doing so or engaging in any other transaction. Any opinions or comments are made to the best of the knowledge and belief of the writer but no responsibility is accepted for actions based on such opinions or comments. Vox Markets may receive payment from companies mentioned for enhanced profiling or publication presence. The writer may or may not hold investments in the companies under discussion.

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